The Cruxes Ledger

Every one of the 194 deep dives ends with the same honest question: what would actually move the needle? This is all 653 of those cruxes in one place — the project's standing list of what would change its mind — sorted not by case but by the kind of key each one needs: a document unsealed, an object tested, a tape re-read, a file pulled, a person still willing to talk.

Declassification & disclosure 58
Physical & forensic analysis 100
Sensor & imagery data 94
Archives & documents 139
Witness testimony 75
Other open questions 187

Declassification & disclosure · 58

It exists in a government or institutional holding — the barrier is access, not discovery.

The NDAA-mandated secure reporting mechanism going fully live, and resolution of the remaining 'true anomalies' (the FY24 21 cases, the orange orb, the metallic cylinder, the Mosul orb, GIMBAL).

AARO (All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office) apparatus event
Reconciliation of the Grusch claims with AARO's denial — which requires the underlying classified evidence on both sides, currently public on neither.

AARO (All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office) apparatus event
Declassified electronic-detection data behind the annual-report resolution rates.

AARO (All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office) apparatus event
Full text of the 38 DIRDs, including any classified annexes, and the AAWSAP contract with its complete statement of work and BAASS deliverables.

AAWSAP / AATIP apparatus event
The ~494-page unpublished 'Ten Month Report' on worldwide UFO sightings.

AAWSAP / AATIP apparatus event
Unredacted FOIA'd Pentagon emails on Elizondo and the AATIP label, to settle the directorship dispute against the contract record.

AAWSAP / AATIP apparatus event
Release of AARO's full STK reconstruction (3D path with error bars) and the weather/cloud-deck data SCU requested.

Aguadilla Incident disputed optical artifact
Full public release of the medical records for all three witnesses; the public record holds excerpts via Schuessler's casebook and the lawsuit, not the complete files.

Cash-Landrum Incident under corroborated
Unredacted release of the redacted FOIA-returned file referenced in the corpus case record; what was withheld and why is itself undocumented.

Cash-Landrum Incident under corroborated
Declassification or congressional release of the specific information Grusch provided to the ICIG and the intelligence committees in classified session.

David Grusch House Oversight testimony (26 July 2023) apparatus event
Operation of the UAP Disclosure Act's proposed records-review board (or an equivalent), which would convert the question from testimony to documents.

David Grusch House Oversight testimony (26 July 2023) apparatus event
Release of the full-length, uncut ATFLIR video and the synchronized radar / SA-page data showing the 'fleet', to test whether multiple objects existed independently of the IR sensor.

Gimbal Video disputed optical artifact
Release of the full ATFLIR clip and pod telemetry (continuous range/azimuth/elevation), so the triangulation does not depend on a few legible frames.

GoFast Video disputed optical artifact
Release of any military (ROCC/Elmendorf) radar data from the encounter window.

Japan Airlines Flight 1628 (17 November 1986) under corroborated
Any surviving physical samples or unpublished photographs from the 1964 site examination, for modern materials and combustion analysis of the burned vegetation.

Lonnie Zamora / Socorro Incident (24 April 1964) phenomenologically open
Declassification of any White Sands / military test records for late April 1964 that could confirm or finally exclude an experimental-craft origin.

Lonnie Zamora / Socorro Incident (24 April 1964) phenomenologically open
The withheld red-insignia sketch and its provenance, as a control against later copycat reports.

Lonnie Zamora / Socorro Incident (24 April 1964) phenomenologically open
Full declassification and independent review of the complete Echo Flight unit history and the Boeing/USAF engineering investigation, including whether the noise-pulse finding fully reproduced a ten-missile simultaneous fault.

Malmstrom AFB Echo Flight missile shutdown (16 March 1967) under corroborated
A documented Skyhook launch record — site, date, and trajectory — placing a specific balloon over central Kentucky on the afternoon of 7 January 1948. This is the single missing link; Ruppelt explicitly could not find it. Declassified ONR / General Mills launch logs from late 1947–early 1948 could be decisive.

Mantell Incident historically pivotal explained
Release of the raw, full-length, time-stamped FLIR and radar data with exact aircraft position, heading, and sensor pointing angles, enabling an independent line-of-sight reconstruction.

Mexican Air Force FLIR Video disputed optical artifact
Declassification of the 455th Strategic Missile Wing operational and security records for August 1966, which would convert the case from testimony to documentation.

Minot AFB Minuteman ICBM Incident (August 1966) under corroborated
A cross-walk between NASA's unclassified scientific data and AARO's classified holdings, to apply civilian-science rigor to the cases the panel could not see.

NASA UAP Independent Study Team Report apparatus event
Release of AARO's overdue 2025 annual report (still unpublished as of February 2026) and the NDAA-mandated briefing on the number, location, and nature of intercepts.

New Jersey / Northeast Drone Sightings apparatus event
Declassified electronic-detection data corroborating or refuting the manned-aircraft-misidentification model for the sensitive-site incursions.

New Jersey / Northeast Drone Sightings apparatus event
Release of the Wallace Litwin photographs reviewed by U.S. Navy Intelligence — the single potential physical record, never made public.

Operation Mainbrace UAP Sightings under corroborated
Un-redacted Blue Book case files: the National Archives hold ~37 cubic feet of case files on 94 rolls of 35mm microfilm (publication T-1206), some with witness names redacted.

Project Blue Book apparatus event
Still-classified CIA / Robertson Panel collateral records that shaped Blue Book's post-1953 posture.

Project Blue Book apparatus event
The released report itself (and the withheld portions) — auditable as a primary document.

Project Condign — the UK MoD's secret UAP study apparatus event
The declassified CIA STAR GATE collection (released online January 2017 via CREST/Reading Room, ~12,000+ documents) — the primary archive of session reports, tasking, and internal assessments.

Project Stargate apparatus event
Public release of the 81st Security Police Squadron blotter and any base incident logs for 25–28 December 1980, which have never surfaced in full.

Rendlesham Forest Incident disputed optical artifact
A complete, indexed release of the DND RG 77 Shag Harbour correspondence, including any Maritime Command dive-team logs and sonar records not yet public.

Shag Harbour Incident (4 October 1967) phenomenologically open
The documented AAWSAP/BAASS/DIA records (FOIA), which evidence official interest and spending, not validated phenomena.

Skinwalker Ranch under corroborated
Release of the 457th FS flight and air-traffic-control records for the evening, to fully reconcile the F-16 activity with the witness timeline.

Stephenville, Texas (8 January 2008) disputed optical artifact
Release of the original, full-length, metadata-intact thermal file (sensor type, timestamps, geolocation) — without which neither the anomalous nor the prosaic reading can be confirmed.

The "Jellyfish" UAP disputed optical artifact
The full (withheld) footage and the sensor metadata, which would settle the parallax question.

The "Mosul Orb" disputed optical artifact
Unredacted FOIA'd Pentagon communications around the article's publication, some of which already show an effort to keep messaging 'in synch.'

The 2017 New York Times AATIP Article apparatus event
The classified-access limits — what AARO could NOT reach — are the key open question.

The AARO Historical Record Report, Vol. 1 apparatus event
The FAB/CINDACTA radar tapes and plots, and the 25 September 2009 declassified FAB report (the most authoritative primary document).

The Brazilian Official UFO Night phenomenologically open
The declassified Spanish military file (Expedientes OVNI, 1994) — the primary depositions and the Adjutant's conclusions.

The Canary Islands Sightings historically pivotal explained
Release of the underlying military pilot and radar records COMETA cited (the Mirage IV 1977 and Air France AF 3532 1994 encounters) for independent analysis.

The COMETA Report apparatus event
The documentary record of the disinformation (Doty's admissions, Moore's 1989 disclosure, the 1992 CIA document, Bishop's Project Beta).

The Dulce Base Legend historically pivotal explained
Declassified, time-stamped flight records for Pease AFB B-47s, Operation Big Blast, and any KC-97 tanker tracks that night, geolocated against the field — to confirm or refute overlap in time, place, and altitude.

The Exeter Incident phenomenologically open
The largely unrecovered Alaska/Yukon debris (the central evidentiary gap) and the 2024 RCMP FOIA documents on the Lake Huron debris.

The February 2023 NORAD Object Shootdowns under corroborated
Operation Upshot-Knothole records cross-checked against Stansel's account, to test the classified-test-hardware reading directly.

The Kingman, Arizona Crash Claim under corroborated
Any declassified NORTHCOM/AARO assessment naming or ruling out an operator — the single fact that would close the case.

The Langley AFB Drone Incursions (December 2023) apparatus event
The complete declassified Air Force file (radar plots, the Torrejon/Barcelona logs, Camara's debrief) cross-referenced with an independent reconstruction.

The Manises Incident disputed optical artifact
The unreleased classified annex.

The ODNI Preliminary Assessment on UAP apparatus event
Bishop's documentary research and Lambright's archival/footage work, plus the reported 1992 CIA document and FOIA on AFOSI's Kirtland interest.

The Paul Bennewitz Affair & the AFOSI Disinformation Campaign apparatus event
The complete declassified panel file beyond the ~800 pages released after 1978.

The Robertson Panel apparatus event
The unsanitized internal record behind the panel — the CIA's prepared release deleted references to its own involvement and to the psychological-warfare concern; the unredacted file would bear directly on the suppression-vs-prudent-management question.

The Robertson Panel apparatus event
The accounting behind Haines's 1997 finding that over half of later-1950s sightings were classified U-2/OXCART flights 'explained away' as natural phenomena — the documented mundane cover the panel's posture facilitated.

The Robertson Panel apparatus event
Quantitative comparison of the reported SW-to-NE motion against archived surface/low-altitude wind for each night — the highest-value untapped test; the directional match is suggestive but unpublished.

The Tinley Park Lights disputed optical artifact
Documentary evidence of the alleged 1997 Special Access Program and the access denial — none has surfaced, and AARO's records search found no support for the reverse-engineering claim.

The Wilson-Davis Memo under corroborated
Full release of the Brazilian Navy's internal review file from January–February 1958.

Trindade Island Photographs (16 January 1958) disputed optical artifact
Public release of any communications between USS Princeton, USS Nimitz, and shore command during the engagement window; some such communications were reportedly logged.

USS Nimitz Tic-Tac Incident under corroborated
Release of the raw APG-79 radar data from the 2014–2015 work-up period, which would let independent analysts test the station-keeping and velocity claims.

USS Theodore Roosevelt encounters (2014–2015) phenomenologically open
Release of the complete, unredacted Varginha Fire Brigade dispatch log and any associated incident report, to establish exactly what the brigade was sent to capture.

Varginha 'ET' Incident (20 January 1996) under corroborated
Release of the original file with intact telemetry / metadata (location, altitude, sensor, weapon), not a screen recording.

Yemen MQ-9 Reaper Orb Encounter under corroborated

Physical & forensic analysis · 100

A material object, sample, or trace that instruments could still be pointed at.

It remains useful pedagogically as the benchmark artifact: the eye sees nothing, the camera 'captures' a marvel, and the marvel is the exposure time.

"Rods" / "Skyfish" disputed optical artifact
Forensic review of the earliest (same-day, pre-Mack) drawings and Cynthia Hind's raw interview materials to establish what the children reported before any extended adult framing.

Ariel School, Zimbabwe (16 September 1994) under corroborated
Forensic publication of the original (less-retouched) LA Times negative, which Holman reports exists in the archives, to settle definitively whether the 'object' is cloud/flak or something structured.

Battle of Los Angeles historically pivotal explained
Any recovered wreckage, bomb damage, or documented downed aircraft from that night — none has ever surfaced, and Japanese records affirmatively deny an overflight.

Battle of Los Angeles historically pivotal explained
Independent re-analysis of the raw Glons/Semmerzake ground-radar and F-16 APG-66 recordings by an air-defense radar specialist, specifically testing the anomalous-propagation hypothesis against the ground/air cross-confirmation.

Belgian Triangle Wave (29 November 1989 – April 1990) phenomenologically open
The metal-sample re-analysis (Alvarado) showing ordinary metals and an EDS instrument-reading error, versus Vogel's original favorable reading.

Billy Meier & the Plejaren Contacts documented hoax
Location and forensic examination of the witnesses' Oldsmobile Cutlass, if it survives.

Cash-Landrum Incident under corroborated
Retrospective dose assessment (e.g., EPR dosimetry) on any retained personal materials from the witnesses, which would convert the radiation question from clinical inference to measurement.

Cash-Landrum Incident under corroborated
The central evidentiary gap: no forensic soil/heat analysis of the mark was ever performed (lightning vs deliberate burn remains formally unresolved).

Cerro Uritorco / Huella del Pajarillo (Capilla del Monte) documented hoax
Independent forensic/dermatological review of any preserved photographs of the actual injuries (burns, puncture pairs) against radiation-burn, electrical-burn, insect-bite, and self-inflicted-wound differentials.

Colares / Operação Prato (1977–1978) under corroborated
Modern re-analysis of the archived AECB soil samples (isotopic signature) to distinguish a radium-contamination artifact from an anomalous source.

Falcon Lake Incident (20 May 1967) under corroborated
Re-survey of the landing site (if relocatable) for residual contamination or trace metals.

Falcon Lake Incident (20 May 1967) under corroborated
An independent sample of the 'gummy deposit' (now lost) — though the pickup-oil attribution already accounts for it, so this is low-leverage.

Flatwoods Monster phenomenologically open
A 'D' case with multiple independent instruments (calibrated radar + spectroscopy + sampled material with anomalous isotopics) and a clear chain of custody.

GEIPAN apparatus event
Reproducible physical traces that survive peer-reviewed laboratory analysis (the Trans-en-Provence soil and chlorophyll findings remain the benchmark).

GEIPAN apparatus event
The full Swedish Defence Staff committee files (sighting logs, trajectory plots, radar strip-charts) for a rigorous modern reanalysis of the ~225 'credible' cases against 1946 Perseid and aircraft data.

Ghost Rockets under corroborated
Forensic dating and chain-of-custody on the attic model proving it predates the photos and was not planted; and blind analysis of the original negatives/Polaroids, which Walters's limited access has frustrated.

Gulf Breeze UFO Incident documented hoax
Excavation of the ~16 geophysically-indicated enclosures will further constrain chronology and function.

Göbekli Tepe conventional explanation suffices
Residue and use-wear analysis continues to test the ritual-only vs habitation readings — a question internal to archaeology, not requiring any exotic hypothesis.

Göbekli Tepe conventional explanation suffices
The group's own primary documents (the website archive, 'exit'/farewell videos, the 'Away Team' materials).

Heaven's Gate historically pivotal explained
Any retained physical artifact testable for composition (meteoritic stone/iron vs. a manufactured Soviet/US alloy) — currently nothing physical is in public hands.

Kecksburg Incident phenomenologically open
An independent re-analysis reconciling NORAD's Kosmos 96 reentry time with the fireball time — at present the two are incompatible, which is why the satellite theory fails.

Kecksburg Incident phenomenologically open
Any recovered physical evidence — bullet-strike forensics, owl carcasses, or confirmation/refutation of the weakly-sourced luminous-grass patch — none of which exists, which is exactly why the case stays open.

Kelly-Hopkinsville Encounter under corroborated
The original Hart negatives subjected to modern forensic photogrammetry and grain analysis, to test the hoax-vs-genuine question the 1951 lab could not resolve.

Lubbock Lights disputed optical artifact
The original tower transcript or accident-board record of Mantell's actual radio words, to settle whether 'metallic and tremendous in size' was real or a later embellishment.

Mantell Incident historically pivotal explained
The full Project Sign / accident-investigation file with the medical examiner's report and altimeter/wreckage analysis, to fix the blackout altitude and confirm the hypoxia reconstruction.

Mantell Incident historically pivotal explained
Modern frame-by-frame forensic analysis of the surviving film (motion, brightness, any shape cues) against the known F-94 flight profile for that date and time.

Mariana Film (15 August 1950) under corroborated
Modern high-resolution forensic re-analysis of the original Trent negatives (grain, focus depth, edge effects) to test the near-model versus distant-object hypotheses directly.

McMinnville (Trent) Photographs (11 May 1950) disputed optical artifact
Forensic and provenance analysis of the original Sheriff's Department recording, and recovery of any complete (un-excerpted) version.

Pascagoula Abduction (11 October 1973) under corroborated
Modern re-analysis of the 701 unknowns against better weather, satellite, and air-traffic data than 1950s-60s investigators had — to test whether the residue reflects investigative limits or genuine anomalies.

Project Blue Book apparatus event
Bill Ryan's own later statements disavowing the material.

Project Serpo under corroborated
Independent re-analyses of the key SAIC experiments (e.g., the Wiseman & Milton re-evaluation) that test the methodological objections — chiefly cueing and the principal-investigator-as-judge problem.

Project Stargate apparatus event
Forensic dating and ink analysis of the Penniston notebook, whose internal dates and times conflict with the rest of the record.

Rendlesham Forest Incident disputed optical artifact
Material analysis of the surviving plaster casts and any retained soil or vegetation samples from the site.

Rendlesham Forest Incident disputed optical artifact
The original microcassette: chain of custody and audio forensics on a first-generation copy of the Halt tape.

Rendlesham Forest Incident disputed optical artifact
The original 1979 police and forensic file, the ground-mark photographs, and any soil or clothing analysis (radiation/contamination claims circulate but are unsourced).

Robert Taylor / Livingston Incident under corroborated
Any CONTEMPORANEOUS (1947–49) primary document — a base log, teletype, medical record, or photograph — independently corroborating non-terrestrial material or biological remains, rather than testimony recorded decades later. None has surfaced despite the GAO records search.

Roswell Incident under corroborated
Recovery or positive material match of actual Mogul Flight 4 components, or the original debris itself, for metallurgical analysis — to nail the consensus explanation rather than infer it.

Roswell Incident under corroborated
Physical chain-of-custody evidence of any kind: the case currently turns entirely on one genuine 1947 press release plus human memory recorded 30+ years later, so any hard 1947 artifact would be transformative.

Roswell Incident under corroborated
Analysis of the reported yellow foam's described properties against known phenomena (fuel, bioluminescence, sediment) to test mundane-residue hypotheses.

Shag Harbour Incident (4 October 1967) phenomenologically open
Independent re-analysis of the raw FAA radar files (Powell & Schulze's source data) by a radar specialist, focused on the transponder-less track's path and velocity.

Stephenville, Texas (8 January 2008) disputed optical artifact
Independent frame-by-frame optical analysis distinguishing a real object from a sensor artifact.

The "Jellyfish" UAP disputed optical artifact
The metallurgy of the retained piece (ordinary aluminum), already analyzed.

The "Trinity" / San Antonio (NM) Crash Claim documented hoax
The absence of any recovered splash/debris, which undercuts the transmedium claim.

The 2019 Navy "Pyramid" & Sphere Videos (USS Russell / USS Omaha) disputed optical artifact
The report's methodology and sourcing (~30 interviews, archival review, SAP-oversight partnerships, the metal analysis) are auditable.

The AARO Historical Record Report, Vol. 1 apparatus event
The total absence of corroborating evidence for the contact — single-witness, channeled, with no physical trace — which is structural and unlikely to change.

The Aetherius Society & George King historically pivotal explained
The original (pre-hypnosis) report kept strictly separate from the regression material, to isolate what was actually witnessed.

The Alan Godfrey / Todmorden Case under corroborated
Any preserved Jersey radar data, to distinguish a physical object from an optical artifact (complicated by ferry returns).

The Alderney / Channel Islands Sighting disputed optical artifact
Document forensics beyond paper/ink: typewriter-typeface dating, letterhead/protocol-number cross-checks against real 1933 ministerial formats, and signature comparison.

The Alleged 1933 Italian Crash / Cabinet RS/33 disputed provenance
The consistency of Villas Boas's account across decades versus the precedence of similar published material.

The Antonio Villas Boas Case under corroborated
Rigorous, chain-of-custody metallurgical analysis of the claimed aluminum-iron fragments, which has never been published.

The Aurora, Texas Airship Crash documented hoax
Full audit of the 1974 contemporaneous record — police logs, RAF search reports, and press — to confirm the absence of any crash material and fix the timeline of bang, meteor, and lights.

The Berwyn Mountain Incident historically pivotal explained
Physical evidence from Betty's dress that is unambiguously non-terrestrial and independently replicated by neutral labs — the existing analyses are inconclusive and the 'anomalous residue' claims are partisan.

The Betty and Barney Hill Abduction under corroborated
Forensic identification of 'Guardian' — the fingerprint reportedly on the tape and document/handwriting forensics — the single highest-leverage open item; attempts reportedly failed.

The Carp / Guardian Affair documented hoax
Provenance of the video original (camera, generation) and independent re-analysis of the windshield-wiper frames and the vehicle/pickup-staging hypothesis.

The Carp / Guardian Affair documented hoax
Document forensics on the forged DND letterhead, and any testimony from alleged participants — the case's remaining open thread is who, not whether.

The Carp / Guardian Affair documented hoax
Controlled necropsies, which repeatedly show animals died of natural causes before any tissue removal.

The Cattle Mutilation Wave & the Rommel Report historically pivotal explained
The published DNA analyses of the carcasses (reproducible, conclusive as mangy canids).

The Chupacabra historically pivotal explained
Correlated multi-sensor data on the ~5% 'D'-type cases, to test whether the unexplained residue survives instrumented scrutiny.

The COMETA Report apparatus event
Any government adoption of COMETA's recommendations — none materialized, so the report remains an unofficial argument, not a policy.

The COMETA Report apparatus event
Sturrock's 1987 JSE re-analysis, which documented that critical reviews came from scientists who had done UFO research and laudatory ones from those who had not — a test of the report's reception bias.

The Condon Committee apparatus event
Independent peer-reviewed replication of the 2022 isotopic measurements, especially the Fe-57 contamination claim.

The Council Bluffs Molten-Metal Case under corroborated
Any contemporaneous police/fire incident records establishing the precise timing between the light sighting and the discovery of the still-molten metal.

The Council Bluffs Molten-Metal Case under corroborated
Independent re-analysis of any surviving samples (modern SEM/EDS, ICP-MS, isotopic provenance) and reconstruction of the 1986 chain of custody.

The Dalnegorsk Incident / Height 611 under corroborated
Definitive identification of the glowing/chemiluminescent fraction and whether known soil fungi/bacteria can produce it at the observed intensity — can a fairy ring actually glow visibly?

The Delphos Ring under corroborated
Independent reanalysis of archived samples by a neutral lab with chain of custody — though the decades-old samples are degraded, a real limitation.

The Delphos Ring under corroborated
A controlled, peer-reviewed exhumation of the alleged Aurora grave or independent, replicated metallurgical analysis of debris showing genuinely anomalous (non-1897) materials — all such evidence to date is inconclusive or mundane.

The Great Airship Wave of 1896-1897 historically pivotal explained
Publication of full raw AMS datasets for outside reanalysis, and independent replication of the 2004 radioactivity finding.

The Hessdalen Lights phenomenologically open
Independent frame-by-frame photometric re-analysis of the original (not duplicated) film with known lens and focus parameters, and a time-synchronized correlation between a specific radar return and a specific filmed light.

The Kaikoura Lights disputed optical artifact
The absence of any primary document, named witness, or physical artifact for the incident (the binding gap).

The Kapustin Yar UFO Legend ("Russian Roswell") under corroborated
Any contemporaneous 1953 document, photograph, or recovered sample — none has ever surfaced in 70 years.

The Kingman, Arizona Crash Claim under corroborated
The absence of any radar track or RF signal, confirming no metallic craft, and the explicit ruling-out of cross-border surveillance.

The Ladakh / Indo-China Border Lights historically pivotal explained
The absence of any physical trace, photo, or independent contemporaneous report of a glowing craft over Manhattan — the decisive negative.

The Linda Napolitano / Brooklyn Bridge Abduction under corroborated
Document forensics: the photocopied Truman signature (traceable to the 1 October 1947 letter), anachronistic date formats, and style-convention errors.

The Majestic 12 (MJ-12) Documents disputed provenance
Spectroscopic fingerprinting of the rare 'CE' residue (incandescent headlight spectra vs anything novel), with independent review — Stephan's 2009 work is the template.

The Marfa Lights disputed optical artifact
The residual claims (predicted timing, some distant observers, the clothes-drying) that keep the optical-artifact explanation disputed in devotional literature.

The Miracle of the Sun at Fátima phenomenologically open
Critical source-history of Keel's 'window area' material (UFOs, MIB, Indrid Cold, premonitions) to distinguish contemporaneous reports from his later literary construction.

The Mothman of Point Pleasant under corroborated
Vallee's 1994 forensic reconstruction tracing the story to degaussing and the Varo printing.

The Philadelphia Experiment & the Allende Letters documented hoax
The total absence of corroborating evidence for the contact (single-witness, no physical trace).

The Raelian Movement historically pivotal explained
The resurfaced 1993 originals (first-generation prints free of copy artifacts) and photometric/distance and sky-consistency analysis across all four frames.

The Rex Heflin Photographs disputed optical artifact
Replication and peer-reviewed lab analysis of the physical-trace cases the panel found most suggestive.

The Sturrock Panel apparatus event
Independent, blind re-analysis of any surviving archived samples (isotopic, trace-metal, chlorophyll/pigment assays) by labs with no stake in the outcome.

The Trans-en-Provence Case under corroborated
A provenance/chain-of-custody audit of the 1981 samples and the chosen chlorophyll baselines — and any second witness (none has emerged in 40+ years).

The Trans-en-Provence Case under corroborated
The primary Robertson Panel / Durant documents and the Condon Case 49 re-analysis (Condon ultimately leaned birds).

The Tremonton Film disputed optical artifact
The micro-spherules and nickel/isotopic signatures (extraterrestrial body, not artificial material) and the tree-ring/flattening-pattern analysis (airburst geometry).

The Tunguska Event historically pivotal explained
The conspicuous absence of any artificial material — no alloys, no machined debris.

The Tunguska Event historically pivotal explained
The preserved fragments themselves (auditable, repeatedly analyzed across six decades).

The Ubatuba Magnesium Fragments under corroborated
The full UMMO document corpus and the INTA materials analysis (auditable).

The UMMO Affair documented hoax
A modern forensic fracture-mechanics re-examination of the still-preserved windshield (impact direction, sequence, inside-vs-outside origin) — physically possible since the car survives.

The Val Johnson Incident under corroborated
Metallurgical analysis of the bent antennas (bending direction and force vector) versus airflow or impact, and independent verification of the dual-clock 14-minute discrepancy mechanism.

The Val Johnson Incident under corroborated
The original 1965 gendarmerie file with contemporaneous photos and soil notes (some material is in GEIPAN); a full release/audit would help.

The Valensole Incident under corroborated
Any 1965 soil/chemical analysis of the hardened patch (compaction vs chemical alteration), and independent botanical documentation of the lavender die-off versus anecdote.

The Valensole Incident under corroborated
Any genuine physical or soil anomaly — none was found in ~64 site analyses.

The Voronezh UFO Incident under corroborated
Forensic dating and provenance analysis of the notes themselves, including the chain from the 2002 meeting to the 2019 surfacing via Edgar Mitchell's papers.

The Wilson-Davis Memo under corroborated
The 2024-25 Arecibo archival reanalysis directly comparing drift-scan hydrogen data to Big Ear's — the most concrete modern lead.

The Wow! Signal phenomenologically open
Location and forensic analysis of the original 6×6 negatives (grain, edge effects, optical consistency) — the single item that could most plausibly resolve the case; their unavailability is the central obstacle.

Trindade Island Photographs (16 January 1958) disputed optical artifact
Location of the wreckage on the Bass Strait floor and recovery of any serial-numbered components — the single thing that would settle crash-vs-hoax and bound the cause.

Valentich Disappearance (21 October 1978) under corroborated
A modern forensic audio analysis of the 17-second terminal noise against known signatures (water impact, microphone/airframe contact, propeller/airframe vibration, RF artifacts).

Valentich Disappearance (21 October 1978) under corroborated
Recovery of Shaun Matthews's site photographs and any soil/botanical sampling of the grass ring.

Westall Incident (6 April 1966) under corroborated
Independent geolocation (as Bellingcat did for the 2022 orb) to test the balloon / Houthi-payload hypothesis, and clarification of the missile type and whether the debris is consistent with a deflating balloon.

Yemen MQ-9 Reaper Orb Encounter under corroborated

Sensor & imagery data · 94

Raw radar, telemetry, or original imagery whose provenance can be re-examined.

Any radar track of the object (currently absent), and frame-level resolution of the 'occlusion' dispute — do the fade frames contain a real foreground object?

Aguadilla Incident disputed optical artifact
A contemporaneous launch/recovery log for a meteorological or pilot balloon over the LA basin matching the ~3 a.m. red-flare sighting, to harden the leading trigger from 'likely' to 'documented'.

Battle of Los Angeles historically pivotal explained
Meteorological reconstruction of the 30–31 March 1990 atmosphere over the Beauvechain sector to confirm or exclude the temperature-inversion ducting account.

Belgian Triangle Wave (29 November 1989 – April 1990) phenomenologically open
On-record testimony from the two F-16 pilots about what their radar and HUD showed.

Belgian Triangle Wave (29 November 1989 – April 1990) phenomenologically open
Provenance audit of every surviving Operação Prato photograph to separate FAB-originated frames from later-contaminated/hoaxed imagery (the Costa problem).

Colares / Operação Prato (1977–1978) under corroborated
Cross-correlation of GEIPAN's public database with AARO and military sensor data — the official transparency GEIPAN models, applied across borders.

GEIPAN apparatus event
Photo analysis — the strongest lever; the model-parts identifications (GE bulbs, lantern components, indoor-model geometry) are concrete and reproducible.

George Adamski & the Contactee Movement documented hoax
The complete U.S. chain — the actual 22 Aug 1946 CIG memo text and supporting radar course-plots, plus the Doolittle/Sarnoff debrief reports referenced in Loren Gross's documentary history.

Ghost Rockets under corroborated
A definitive, citable archival negative finding from Soviet/Russian records on 1946 Peenemunde-area activity, to formally close the missile hypothesis.

Ghost Rockets under corroborated
Modern sonar / sub-bottom profiling of the Lake Kolmjarv impact area, to test whether anything large was ever there.

Ghost Rockets under corroborated
The raw ATFLIR pod telemetry (gimbal angles, de-rotation log, exact azimuth/elevation/roll), to confirm or refute that the rotation coincides with a gimbal singularity.

Gimbal Video disputed optical artifact
Corroborating second-sensor data (a second aircraft's ATFLIR, ship radar tracks) at the same time and place.

Gimbal Video disputed optical artifact
A reproducible optical-bench or engineering demonstration that ATFLIR glare can or cannot produce the observed sharp-edged rotating shape.

Gimbal Video disputed optical artifact
Independent reproduction of AARO's geospatial / trig model with fully published inputs (the methodology card is a start).

GoFast Video disputed optical artifact
Corroborating radar or second-aircraft track establishing the object's range independent of the optical parallax.

GoFast Video disputed optical artifact
A verified, untampered stereo/SRS photo pair establishing the object's true size and distance as large and far — Maccabee's intended test — independently confirmed by analysts on both sides.

Gulf Breeze UFO Incident documented hoax
Independent corroboration of the blue-beam immobilization (instrument data or a credible co-witness) rather than Walters-only testimony.

Gulf Breeze UFO Incident documented hoax
The astronomical debunk record (Palomar Sky Survey comparison identifying SAO 141894).

Heaven's Gate historically pivotal explained
An acoustic-plausibility analysis of the candidate aircraft at the reported distances, to test the silence objection quantitatively.

Hudson Valley Wave phenomenologically open
Full public release and independent analysis of the FAA Anchorage ARTCC radar recordings Callahan retained, specifically testing the split-image hypothesis against the transponder/primary separation.

Japan Airlines Flight 1628 (17 November 1986) under corroborated
Astronomical/meteorological records for western Kentucky on the night of 21 August 1955, to test the meteor hypothesis for the initial light.

Kelly-Hopkinsville Encounter under corroborated
Atmospheric reconstruction (radiosonde / inversion data) over the Cascades for 24 June 1947, to test the mirage hypothesis quantitatively rather than rhetorically.

Kenneth Arnold Sighting under corroborated
Recovery of any surviving raw radar plots or scope photographs from Bentwaters/Lakenheath GCA and RAPCON (most contemporaneous radar data was not preserved).

Lakenheath–Bentwaters Incident (13–14 August 1956) under corroborated
A modern meteorological reconstruction of the 13–14 August 1956 atmosphere over Suffolk to quantify the plausibility of inversion ducting for the specific tracks.

Lakenheath–Bentwaters Incident (13–14 August 1956) under corroborated
The identity and notes of Ruppelt's anonymous scientist, or the instrumentation data he gathered — the single biggest open question, which died with Ruppelt in 1960.

Lubbock Lights disputed optical artifact
The primary Reese AFB radar logs and ATIC file for the 26 August ~900 mph target, to confirm it was a real, non-weather return distinct from the visual lights.

Lubbock Lights disputed optical artifact
Contemporary meteorological records (temperature inversion / haze layer over Lubbock in late August 1951) to test the atmospheric-refraction hypothesis quantitatively.

Lubbock Lights disputed optical artifact
Establishing the precise provenance and handling of the negatives from 1950 to the Condon study, to bound any opportunity for fabrication.

McMinnville (Trent) Photographs (11 May 1950) disputed optical artifact
A definitive geolocation test projecting the FLIR azimuth/elevation onto a terrain-plus-platform model, to confirm or rule out that the lights fall on known Cantarell rig positions.

Mexican Air Force FLIR Video disputed optical artifact
Independent corroboration of the radar tracks as discrete moving objects with kinematics inconsistent with stationary flares.

Mexican Air Force FLIR Video disputed optical artifact
A standing NASA UAP data program with calibrated, multi-sensor instruments producing reproducible, peer-reviewable observations — the report's own central ask.

NASA UAP Independent Study Team Report apparatus event
Physical recovery of one of the alleged 'car-sized' craft, or calibrated radar/RF-detection logs tying specific sightings to specific operators — the agencies' admitted gap.

New Jersey / Northeast Drone Sightings apparatus event
The full U.S. (Blue Book) and U.K. (Air Ministry / National Archives) Mainbrace files — notably AIR 16/1199 and any surviving 269 Squadron records — including the original Topcliffe witness statements and any radar logs.

Operation Mainbrace UAP Sightings under corroborated
Any recorded radar (FAA, Luke AFB, NORAD) from the 18:55–20:30 transit window that would confirm or exclude a high-altitude aircraft formation along the reported track.

Phoenix Lights (13 March 1997) disputed optical artifact
Provenance and frame-level analysis of the surviving transit-event video (distinct from the well-understood flare footage).

Phoenix Lights (13 March 1997) disputed optical artifact
The program's own best 'unknowns' (e.g., Lakenheath-Bentwaters 1956, the RB-47 1957 case) re-examined with the original raw data.

Project Blue Book apparatus event
Any Eastern Radar (RAF Watton) or Bentwaters radar records beyond the single log reference in the MoD file; the radar claims currently rest on recollection.

Rendlesham Forest Incident disputed optical artifact
Contemporaneous meteorological and astronomical data to test the Venus-mirage trigger.

Robert Taylor / Livingston Incident under corroborated
Any surviving RCN sonar or dive-survey data from the search area, for a modern seabed re-survey.

Shag Harbour Incident (4 October 1967) phenomenologically open
Cross-checking with NATO/Canadian records of the nearby Shelburne acoustic range to definitively include or exclude a test-origin explanation.

Shag Harbour Incident (4 October 1967) phenomenologically open
Independent, controlled, instrumented measurement on the (currently private) property — the missing element.

Skinwalker Ranch under corroborated
Any NORAD or military radar data for the airspace toward Crawford during the window.

Stephenville, Texas (8 January 2008) disputed optical artifact
Recovery of any surviving Imperial Iranian Air Force operational records (radar tapes, maintenance logs for both F-4s) that could confirm or rule out pre-existing avionics faults.

Tehran F-4 Incident (19 September 1976) under corroborated
Independent technical assessment of whether a single external source could selectively suppress weapons, instruments, and UHF on an F-4 while leaving flight controls usable, and recover with range.

Tehran F-4 Incident (19 September 1976) under corroborated
Astronomical reconstruction of the 19 September 1976 Tehran sky to test the Jupiter hypothesis against the reported altitude, motion, and radar lock.

Tehran F-4 Incident (19 September 1976) under corroborated
FLIR/radar metadata for the Omaha sphere (speed, size, track) to resolve aircraft-vs-anomaly — not fully released.

The 2019 Navy "Pyramid" & Sphere Videos (USS Russell / USS Omaha) disputed optical artifact
The meteorological record for 8 March 1994 (ice cover and inversion strength) — the linchpin of the skeptical account.

The 8 March 1994 West Michigan UFO Event under corroborated
The 23 April 2007 Channel meteorological profile (whether a temperature inversion existed that afternoon) — the decisive physical question for the mirage hypothesis.

The Alderney / Channel Islands Sighting disputed optical artifact
Archival checks of RS/33, the telegram protocol numbers, and named personnel against Marconi's papers, OVRA/secret-police logs, SIAI-Marchetti inventories, and state archives — to date all negative.

The Alleged 1933 Italian Crash / Cabinet RS/33 disputed provenance
It remains a teaching case: how low-resolution sonar plus commercial incentive manufactures a 'USO' from ordinary glacial rock.

The Baltic Sea Anomaly historically pivotal explained
Reconciliation of the seismic and meteor data (BGS catalog and fireball reports) against witness timings to nail the coincidence-stack reconstruction.

The Berwyn Mountain Incident historically pivotal explained
The decisive negative: no instrumented detection and no physical evidence in thirty years — exactly what a contagion-plus-mundane-stimuli flap predicts.

The Bonnybridge / Falkirk Triangle UFO Window under corroborated
Surviving radar data and original controller logs — the highest-value unexploited evidence.

The Brazilian Official UFO Night phenomenologically open
The two USGS studies (especially Mansfield's plotted-bearing method) and modern instrumented multi-camera monitoring (Caton).

The Brown Mountain Lights historically pivotal explained
Re-acquiring the 2016 event with synchronized, calibrated cameras, and scrutinizing the thin pre-automobile record.

The Brown Mountain Lights historically pivotal explained
The missing original negatives/prints held (and lost) by the MoD — recovering them would enable grain/emulsion and depth analysis impossible on a copy.

The Calvine Photograph under corroborated
Aerodynamic-contrail physics for a climbing airliner, and an account of why a high, distant aircraft went unseen by helicopter and ground radar.

The Chilean Navy / CEFAA IR Case disputed optical artifact
The full MoD file (DEFE/AIR records) with the complete loose-minute text and any radar/air-defence logs from Cosford/Shawbury that night.

The Cosford Incident disputed optical artifact
The Shawbury meteorological officer's contemporaneous statement (the load-bearing low-craft account), and any base radar tapes or flight records.

The Cosford Incident disputed optical artifact
Pulling 29 January 1986 meteor/bolide and satellite/rocket-reentry records for the region.

The Dalnegorsk Incident / Height 611 under corroborated
Locating the actual photographic plates/negatives and confirming whether they exist, and recovering the original Argentine Navy communique and Perisse's analysis.

The Deception Island / Antarctic Sighting under corroborated
Contemporaneous corroboration (independent radar, additional reports) precisely timestamped to the ~2 am sighting.

The Exeter Incident phenomenologically open
The radar-filter-adjustment record that explains the cluster, and the hobbyist pico-balloon telemetry as a testable trajectory match for the Yukon object.

The February 2023 NORAD Object Shootdowns under corroborated
Any surviving gun-camera film or contemporaneous radar plot correlated to a sighting (none is known to exist).

The Foo Fighters phenomenologically open
The instrumented data the observatories produce — open, time-stamped sensor records that are independently auditable.

The Galileo Project apparatus event
Establishing the actual provenance of the genuine (vs recycled) imagery, and correlating the date/time with cataloged 2010 Chinese missile/test or NOTAM activity.

The Hangzhou Xiaoshan Airport Incident under corroborated
Simultaneous, calibrated multi-instrument capture of a single high-energy event (triangulated optical spectra + magnetometer + radar + radiation, time-synced) to pin size, range, and composition independently.

The Hessdalen Lights phenomenologically open
Reproduced spectra across multiple events confirming or refuting the radon/helium and ionized-gas signatures, and a controlled correlation between local seismic strain and light onset.

The Hessdalen Lights phenomenologically open
The tension between Dr. Kajanoja's radiation-like findings and the negative environmental sampling.

The Imjärvi Encounter under corroborated
Original Wellington ATC radar tapes with calibrated tracks showing target speeds, ranges, and altitudes inconsistent with any vessel, planet, or anomalous propagation.

The Kaikoura Lights disputed optical artifact
The decisive structural weakness — no in-frame reference object means size/distance cannot be derived, so 'craft' vs 'distant boat' is not resolvable from the footage alone.

The Kumburgaz / Turkey Videos disputed optical artifact
The NASA WB-57F and F-16 CAP sensor imagery from the incursions, if released, to characterize the drones precisely.

The Langley AFB Drone Incursions (December 2023) apparatus event
Verified primary radar tapes confirming or refuting the 'three 200 m objects' claim.

The Manises Incident disputed optical artifact
Period records of refinery/industrial flaring and meteorological/astronomical conditions over the Valencia-Ibiza corridor that night, to test the official flare-plus-stars hypothesis quantitatively.

The Manises Incident disputed optical artifact
Modern reprocessing of the 14 radarscope frames modeling the ASQ-38 antenna pattern/side-lobes and station-keeping ground-return modes (the single thing that would move the needle).

The Minot AFB B-52 Incident disputed optical artifact
Any surviving raw RAPCON/GCA radar tapes or synchronized weather-radar film (none currently known).

The Minot AFB B-52 Incident disputed optical artifact
The absence of any photograph of the 'dancing sun' or any instrumental/distant-observer record of a solar change — decisive for the perceptual reading.

The Miracle of the Sun at Fátima phenomenologically open
Any radar data from the Ohio/Pennsylvania corridor that morning (none firmly established).

The Portage County UFO Chase phenomenologically open
The time-correlated Duncanville radar logs against the airborne ELINT and visual bearings — especially the claimed coincident blink-outs, the load-bearing point either way.

The RB-47 ELINT Incident under corroborated
The smoke-ring photo and its particulate-trail link to the third frame.

The Rex Heflin Photographs disputed optical artifact
The stereo/parallax approach as the strongest skeptical test, and documentation of the missing-originals chain of custody.

The Rex Heflin Photographs disputed optical artifact
Modern re-scanning of the original negative to assess grain and exposure gradient and confirm the figure is photographic (in-scene), consistent with a real overexposed subject rather than an emulsion defect.

The Solway Firth Spaceman disputed optical artifact
Any radar data for the relevant nights — none reported, consistent with small unregistered objects (lanterns) but also simply with absence of analysis.

The Tinley Park Lights disputed optical artifact
Instrumented data from that night — radar tracks, all-sky/meteor-camera captures, or photos with star-field references (none known to exist).

The Yukon UFO Sighting disputed optical artifact
A rigorous reconciliation of the deck-witness accounts (how many saw the object, and how consistently) against the photographic record.

Trindade Island Photographs (16 January 1958) disputed optical artifact
Independent expert analysis of the Princeton SPY-1 radar logs, which to the corpus's knowledge have not been publicly released in raw form.

USS Nimitz Tic-Tac Incident under corroborated
Full technical analysis of the FLIR1 video by an independent laboratory not in the Mick-West-vs-supporters dispute; ideally an academic optical-physics group.

USS Nimitz Tic-Tac Incident under corroborated
Cross-correlation of the Nimitz tracks with FAA or U.S. Northern Command radar from the same period.

USS Nimitz Tic-Tac Incident under corroborated
On-record testimony from the unnamed Gimbal aircrew about what they saw on the Situational Awareness page ('a whole fleet of them').

USS Theodore Roosevelt encounters (2014–2015) phenomenologically open
Independent optical-physics analysis of GoFast resolving the parallax dispute with the actual ATFLIR metadata (range, look angle) rather than estimates.

USS Theodore Roosevelt encounters (2014–2015) phenomenologically open
Any surviving primary radar data review to confirm or refute the 'no track near Cape Otway' claim that underpins the hoax theory.

Valentich Disappearance (21 October 1978) under corroborated
The original ARTC and Andrews radar plot logs and the CAA Technical Development & Evaluation Center working data (not just its summary conclusion), to test whether the tracks are geometrically consistent with ducting or with discrete moving objects.

Washington National Flap disputed optical artifact
Contemporaneous radiosonde / inversion-strength data for those nights, to quantitatively test Holcomb's claim that the inversion was too weak.

Washington National Flap disputed optical artifact
Any surviving gun-camera or onboard radar data from the F-94 intercepts.

Washington National Flap disputed optical artifact

Archives & documents · 139

A paper trail — files, memos, logs, correspondence — that may already be findable.

Any genuine contemporaneous (wartime) document referencing Die Glocke or 'Xerum 525' — none has surfaced in over two decades; its absence is the case.

"Die Glocke" / the Nazi-UFO mythos under corroborated
Clean separation of the real co-opted aeronautics (Sack AS-6, Avrocar, foo fighters) from the invented anti-gravity claims, so documented history is not dismissed with the myth.

"Die Glocke" / the Nazi-UFO mythos under corroborated
AARO's Historical Record Report Vol. 2 (Vol. 1's title implies a sequel) — its release, and the underlying interview records, would be the biggest development.

AARO (All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office) apparatus event
AARO's Historical Record Report Vol. 2 and the underlying interview records.

AAWSAP / AATIP apparatus event
Independent psychological assessment of social-contagion dynamics specific to this age range and setting, tested against the documented timeline of who spoke to the children when.

Ariel School, Zimbabwe (16 September 1994) under corroborated
Systematic re-interview of the now-adult witnesses with attention to memory consolidation versus stable recall.

Ariel School, Zimbabwe (16 September 1994) under corroborated
University registrar records (MIT/Caltech) and Los Alamos employment vs contractor status — the core of the credential dispute.

Bob Lazar & the S-4 / Area 51 Claims under corroborated
Actual flight, fuel, and maintenance logs for CH-47 units at Fort Hood, Ellington AFB, and Gulf coast installations for 29 December 1980 — the no-records responses were statements, not document releases.

Cash-Landrum Incident under corroborated
Agostinelli's documentation of the storm, the 'V'-shaped mark, and the instant municipal endorsement.

Cerro Uritorco / Huella del Pajarillo (Capilla del Monte) documented hoax
Recovery of the complete, un-excerpted Operação Prato dossier and any surviving clinical records from the Colares health post, to test the medical claims against contemporaneous documentation rather than later interviews.

Colares / Operação Prato (1977–1978) under corroborated
An aerodynamic/human-factors assessment of whether an unnoticed collective input could fully account for the reported 1,800 ft climb and its timing.

Coyne / Mansfield Army Helicopter Incident (18 October 1973) phenomenologically open
Any Army flight or maintenance records for the aircraft that night, and the original incident report Coyne filed.

Coyne / Mansfield Army Helicopter Incident (18 October 1973) phenomenologically open
The documented failure of 'genuine vs hoax' criteria (Delgado authenticating a staged fake) as the falsifying test of the anomaly hypothesis.

Crop Circles & the Bower-Chorley Hoax documented hoax
Resolution of whether any 'crash retrieval' lore Grusch encountered traces to documented disinformation operations (the Bennewitz precedent), which would distinguish the counterintelligence-product reading from a real program.

David Grusch House Oversight testimony (26 July 2023) apparatus event
Independent medical review of the full Misericordia and Mayo Clinic records to characterize the burn and illness against known radiation/thermal injury profiles.

Falcon Lake Incident (20 May 1967) under corroborated
Complete release and indexing of the DND RG 77 Falcon Lake file, including any site photographs and the Pearson assessment.

Falcon Lake Incident (20 May 1967) under corroborated
The original Project Blue Book file and any contemporaneous Air Force meteor/bolide reports fixing the exact track, time, and states of the 12 September 1952 fireball — would firm up the meteor identification.

Flatwoods Monster phenomenologically open
Any contemporaneous medical or first-aid records from that night — would help distinguish an irritant gas from anxiety/hyperventilation.

Flatwoods Monster phenomenologically open
Adamski's documented biography and finances — the transition from failing cafe operator to prosperous lecturer, an independently checkable motive.

George Adamski & the Contactee Movement documented hoax
A positive object ID (a recovered balloon flight log, a bird identification, a drone), which would convert 'non-anomalous motion' into a fully closed case.

GoFast Video disputed optical artifact
Primary FAA / NY State Police records from 1983-84 identifying the specific pilots, aircraft, and flight logs out of Stormville (or Dutchess County / Sky Acres), to settle aircraft type and how many nights the formation actually flew.

Hudson Valley Wave phenomenologically open
Authenticated NRC / NYPA incident records for Indian Point (1984), to resolve whether alarms failed, how close the object came, and which date is correct — the NRC's reported 'no documentation' already cuts against the dramatic version.

Hudson Valley Wave phenomenologically open
Astronomical reconstruction of the 17 November 1986 eastern-Alaska sky to bound the Jupiter/Mars account against the reported altitude, bearing, and pacing behavior.

Japan Airlines Flight 1628 (17 November 1986) under corroborated
The Blue Book file and the Food and Drug Laboratory analysis (settled: an ordinary terrestrial pancake).

Joe Simonton's "Space Pancakes" (Eagle River) historically pivotal explained
Recovery of the missing NASA/Air Force records (the 'two boxes' Steve McConnell described) or any 1965 military log of a Kecksburg recovery operation.

Kecksburg Incident phenomenologically open
The original, unedited John Murphy 'Object in the Woods' tapes or his confiscated photographs surfacing — they would settle the documentation dispute directly.

Kecksburg Incident phenomenologically open
A documented chain of custody for the alleged flatbed-truck object.

Kecksburg Incident phenomenologically open
The original signed witness statements and Bud Ledwith's contemporaneous sketches (22 Aug 1955) and the full Davis & Bloecher CUFOS dossier, read directly rather than via summary, to fix exactly what was claimed before decades of retelling drifted.

Kelly-Hopkinsville Encounter under corroborated
The actual Project Blue Book file (#10073, via NARA/Fold3) read in full, to resolve the genuinely disputed disposition — 'hoax' vs 'unidentified' vs 'never an official case' (Kevin Randle argues CE-3 'creature' reports were administratively excluded).

Kelly-Hopkinsville Encounter under corroborated
Recovery of Arnold's original sketches and the unedited Project Sign file, to fix exactly what shape and size he reported before press contamination — settling the motion-claim vs shape-claim question definitively.

Kenneth Arnold Sighting under corroborated
Full release and cross-checking of the RAF Operational Record Books and any USAF SAC base logs for the night against the reconstructed timeline.

Lakenheath–Bentwaters Incident (13–14 August 1956) under corroborated
Engineering assessment of what field strength or mechanism could stall 1950s ignition systems and kill headlights transiently, and whether any natural plasma could plausibly do so at the reported scale.

Levelland, Texas EM Effects Wave (2–3 November 1957) phenomenologically open
Recovery of the complete Blue Book Levelland file and the exact Air Weather Service observations to formally document the contradiction with the 'ball lightning' verdict.

Levelland, Texas EM Effects Wave (2–3 November 1957) phenomenologically open
Documentary substantiation of the student-hoax claim — named participants, a described mechanism, or contemporaneous admission — which has never been produced.

Lonnie Zamora / Socorro Incident (24 April 1964) phenomenologically open
Any contemporaneous (March 1967) security-police blotter or maintenance logs recording topside object reports, which would move the UAP connection from decades-later testimony to same-day documentation.

Malmstrom AFB Echo Flight missile shutdown (16 March 1967) under corroborated
Independent corroboration of the Oscar Flight event from a witness other than Salas, with a documentary anchor (duty logs, fault records) fixing the date.

Malmstrom AFB Echo Flight missile shutdown (16 March 1967) under corroborated
Documentary resolution of the missing-frames claim: whether Air Force records show the film was cut, or whether the loss is consistent with ordinary handling.

Mariana Film (15 August 1950) under corroborated
Any contemporaneous (1966) security-police blotter or maintenance log recording the sighting and the readiness loss together.

Minot AFB Minuteman ICBM Incident (August 1966) under corroborated
Independent corroboration of the crew commander's account from a second 455th SMW witness with a documentary anchor.

Minot AFB Minuteman ICBM Incident (August 1966) under corroborated
A specific, documented answer to the January 2025 'FAA-authorized research' claim: which programs, which authorizations.

New Jersey / Northeast Drone Sightings apparatus event
Danish and Norwegian military archives for the Scandinavian reports, which currently lack a cited primary source.

Operation Mainbrace UAP Sightings under corroborated
Documentation and vetting of the 2018–2019 corroborating witnesses (e.g., the Blairs) against the contemporaneous record.

Pascagoula Abduction (11 October 1973) under corroborated
Flight records for Operation Snowbird and other military/civil traffic transiting Arizona southbound that evening, to test the formation-of-aircraft account of the transit directly.

Phoenix Lights (13 March 1997) disputed optical artifact
Re-running the Battelle classification and chi-square analysis on the full Blue Book corpus with modern methods, to test whether the better-cases-are-more-unknown pattern and the knowns/unknowns separation survive.

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 apparatus event
The complete Battelle working data and analyst notes (the report itself is public via the Internet Archive and The Black Vault), to examine how the conservative four-agree 'unknown' bar shaped the 21.5% figure.

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 apparatus event
A formal reconciliation of the report's statistics with its dismissive summary, paralleling the Condon summary-vs-data critique.

Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14 apparatus event
The serpo.org archive and the original email 'releases' (auditable for internal contradictions and anachronisms).

Project Serpo under corroborated
The documented Doty/Bennewitz disinformation history as the template against which Serpo is read.

Project Serpo under corroborated
Contemporaneous 1948 ATIC / Cabell / Vandenberg correspondence referencing the Estimate by routing slip or log, which would corroborate the approval chain independently of Ruppelt.

Project Sign apparatus event
The extant Project Sign final report (F-TR-2274-IA) and the National Archives Blue Book record group, which absorbed the Sign/Grudge files, read in full.

Project Sign apparatus event
Swords & Powell's archival work on the ETH faction's composition, to test how dominant the interplanetary view inside Sign actually was.

Project Sign apparatus event
Any archival copy or contemporaneous reference to the Estimate beyond Ruppelt — the single discovery that would convert the legend into a document.

Project Sign's "Estimate of the Situation" apparatus event
The full 1995 AIR report (mirrored at the National Security Archive), read against the Utts and Hyman appendices, to weigh the split verdict directly.

Project Stargate apparatus event
Further provenance and tool-mark analysis continues to close the (already small) gap between documented technique and observed precision.

Puma Punku conventional explanation suffices
Authentication and high-resolution analysis of the Ramey-office photograph and the disputed 'Ramey memo' it shows, which some argue is legible and others say is not.

Roswell Incident under corroborated
A consolidated witness map (locations, times, headings) to separate the F-16-attributable lights from the reported single large object.

Stephenville, Texas (8 January 2008) disputed optical artifact
Johnson's archival contradictions (the Apodaca service record; the late-1950s cattle tank and renamed-1967 'Italian Peak'; the 1982 BLM-map tower) — all checkable.

The "Trinity" / San Antonio (NM) Crash Claim documented hoax
The full AAWSAP contract and DIA records, to settle the AATIP-vs-AAWSAP naming and Elizondo's actual role against the article's framing.

The 2017 New York Times AATIP Article apparatus event
The provenance chain of the released videos from recording to the To The Stars Academy / NYT release, to fix the documentary record independent of the article's narrative.

The 2017 New York Times AATIP Article apparatus event
The Society's own abundant, openly published corpus (the Transmissions, 'The Twelve Blessings,' the Operation records), which is the real object of study and is well-documented by Rothstein and others.

The Aetherius Society & George King historically pivotal explained
Pre-hypnosis contemporaneous documentation of any abduction memory — there is none; only the light sighting was recalled before hypnosis.

The Allagash Abduction under corroborated
Verifiable polygraph records with a named examiner and methodology — currently unverified, and in any case a polygraph only reflects belief in hypnosis-shaped memory.

The Allagash Abduction under corroborated
Fontes's contemporaneous medical documentation — the one independent-ish datum, examined against non-specific dermatological causes.

The Antonio Villas Boas Case under corroborated
The 1953 fraud trial records — contemporaneous court documentation of conviction, a hard dated paper trail rare among UFO cases.

The Aztec, New Mexico Crash Hoax documented hoax
Comparative Wunderzeichen analysis — Basel 1566 beside Nuremberg 1561 and the documented 1535 Stockholm parhelion (Vädersolstavlan) — to separate optical trigger from genre convention.

The Basel Celestial Phenomenon disputed optical artifact
Tracing the provenance of each crash-retrieval claim (Dodd/Fry sources) to document exactly when and how the legend formed — the case's real historiographic value.

The Berwyn Mountain Incident historically pivotal explained
The modern memory-science critique of hypnotic regression.

The Betty Andreasson Abduction under corroborated
Analysis of the reporting curve against media coverage and promotion events, to quantify the feedback loop directly.

The Bonnybridge / Falkirk Triangle UFO Window under corroborated
Local military-activity records for RAF Brawdy/Aberporth in early 1977, and the provenance of the hoax (Edwards) and sewage-tanker claims, to apportion the wave between stimulus, contagion, and prank.

The Broad Haven / Dyfed Incident under corroborated
Re-locating the two witnesses for interview and on-site reconstruction, and modern photogrammetric analysis (terrain matching, shadow/illumination consistency) of the surviving print and the National Archives copies.

The Calvine Photograph under corroborated
RAF Harrier flight records for the area and date to test the Harrier element and bound the geometry.

The Calvine Photograph under corroborated
US Navy Poseidon launch records for 22 June 1976 to confirm a firing time/trajectory matching the bearings.

The Canary Islands Sightings historically pivotal explained
The Project Sign / Blue Book file and the pilots' drawings and Sign's trajectory map.

The Chiles-Whitted Encounter phenomenologically open
Meteor / Delta Aquariid astronomical records for the night of 23-24 July 1948 (including the Alabama hourly count).

The Chiles-Whitted Encounter phenomenologically open
The original NICAP/APRO case files and any Project Blue Book record, examined for the verbatim account, investigator notes, and consistency over Shrum's retellings.

The Cisco Grove Incident under corroborated
Any trace of the physical evidence — the arrows reportedly taken by officers — and documentation of their reported sparking on impact.

The Cisco Grove Incident under corroborated
The GEPAN/SEPRA case files COMETA relied on (especially Trans-en-Provence 1981) re-examined independently — the report's evidentiary base is only as strong as those contested cases.

The COMETA Report apparatus event
Documentary confirmation of exactly which cases (e.g., whether the 1990 Belgian wave is a core anchor or only passing context) the report foregrounds, against its actual text.

The COMETA Report apparatus event
Reading the report's Section IV case-by-case against Condon's Section I summary — the decisive primary check on the summary-vs-data gap; the full report is public (DTIC scan AD0680975 and mirrors).

The Condon Committee apparatus event
The original Low memo and committee correspondence in the University of Colorado archives.

The Condon Committee apparatus event
The GEPAN/GEIPAN (CNES) case file — a state-agency document with an explicit 'unexplained' conclusion (released 2007).

The Cussac Encounter under corroborated
None that would rehabilitate it: the witness's credentials are the load-bearing claim and they are documented fabrications.

The Del Rio / "Col. Robert Willingham" Crash Claim documented hoax
Controlled comparison with confirmed fairy rings (hydrophobicity-to-1-ft; the fulvic/oxalate profile), and resolution of the peripheral claims (tree luminescence, broken branch) — were they contemporaneously documented or later embellishments?

The Delphos Ring under corroborated
The absence of physical or documentary proof and the unsworn nature of the testimony — the decisive weakness.

The Disclosure Project under corroborated
The 1989 AFU study 'Domstensfallet' is the primary resolution document; the contemporary Helsingborgs Dagblad coverage and Rehn's write-up are the primary record of the original claim.

The Domsten Encounter documented hoax
The translated 1959 case file (radiological report, witness testimony) — the primary record.

The Dyatlov Pass Incident historically pivotal explained
A documented KC-97 sortie matching the bearing and the sequenced-light pattern would strengthen the prosaic case; its absence would weaken it.

The Exeter Incident phenomenologically open
Recovery of the original 415th NFS intelligence debriefs, the Ringwald ~14-incident report, and the joint US-British foo-fighter investigation files that Chester found referenced in the National Archives — the closest thing to primary documentation.

The Foo Fighters phenomenologically open
The Project Sign case file and Gorman's signed 23 October 1948 statement (primary documents).

The Gorman Dogfight historically pivotal explained
The Air Weather Service balloon-release log (time, position) for the 8:50 pm Fargo launch.

The Gorman Dogfight historically pivotal explained
A single 1896-97 case with hard, cross-corroborated evidence surviving archival scrutiny (Thomas Bullard's 'Airship File' catalogs ~1,000-1,200 articles); none has so far.

The Great Airship Wave of 1896-1897 historically pivotal explained
The Project Twinkle Final Report and the cinetheodolite/spectrographic records (auditable for what little data exist).

The Green Fireballs of New Mexico phenomenologically open
Soviet/NVA exercise records for 24 August 1990, and recovery of the unreleased MUFON-CES film reportedly showing smoke trails (potentially decisive).

The Greifswald Lights historically pivotal explained
CAAC air-traffic logs and PLA flight/test records for the time and area — decisive but essentially inaccessible.

The Hangzhou Xiaoshan Airport Incident under corroborated
Cross-checking the diverted-flight manifests against the reported closure window.

The Hangzhou Xiaoshan Airport Incident under corroborated
The modern memory-science critique of hypnotic regression as applied to the transcripts.

The Herbert Schirmer Abduction under corroborated
The original Flying Saucer Review write-up and Finnish UFO-research archives (the primary record).

The Imjärvi Encounter under corroborated
The barium-cloud rocket-experiment records as the alternative test.

The Jimmy Carter UFO Sighting historically pivotal explained
Documented fishing-fleet positions for those nights to confirm or rule out squid boats at the implied bearings and distances.

The Kaikoura Lights disputed optical artifact
The documented site history (decree, first V-2 launch) as the real anchor — within which the 1948 incident does not appear.

The Kapustin Yar UFO Legend ("Russian Roswell") under corroborated
Provenance — the anonymous 35mm film through a mail slot is unverifiable; no original exists in any archive.

The Majestic 12 (MJ-12) Documents disputed provenance
Credible primary documentation of the dog's death or the son's burns — never substantiated.

The Maury Island Incident documented hoax
Barker's documented hoaxing record (the Adamski letter, the Sherwood collaboration), which impeaches the legend's chief promoter.

The Men in Black Origin / Albert Bender historically pivotal explained
The Bentley Historical Library and Ford Presidential Library archives (Hynek's account; Ford's demand for hearings).

The Michigan "Swamp Gas" Sightings (Dexter & Hillsdale) phenomenologically open
The contemporaneous press record (especially the hostile-witness O Século accounts) as the best independent documentation.

The Miracle of the Sun at Fátima phenomenologically open
The clean documentary separation of the Silver Bridge collapse's engineering cause (NTSB, eyebar 330) from the folklore — a model of keeping a documented tragedy distinct from a paranormal narrative.

The Mothman of Point Pleasant under corroborated
The Project Blue Book file (interview notes, classification rationale) and the pilots' joint report and drawings.

The Nash-Fortenberry Sighting phenomenologically open
Fuller analysis of the contemporaneous ground reports (Roanoke naval officer; Stockley Gardens) — documented via Tulien/NICAP and the Norfolk press but absent from the Blue Book file, and themselves ambiguous red-lights-in-a-line testimony.

The Nash-Fortenberry Sighting phenomenologically open
The report's own data-quality caveats (stigma-driven underreporting, no standardized collection), which justified the follow-on AARO process.

The ODNI Preliminary Assessment on UAP apparatus event
The full memo (G-1579-4) and the surrounding Project Stork / Special Report 14 records (auditable primary documents).

The Pentacle Memorandum apparatus event
The Plesetsk launch records for Kosmos 955 (date/time/azimuth) and the timing-and-geometry reconstruction against the pre-dawn terminator.

The Petrozavodsk Phenomenon historically pivotal explained
The full Weitzel/NICAP dossier and Blue Book file cross-checked against an independent astronomical reconstruction of the Venus/Moon positions and sunrise at the relevant coordinates and time.

The Portage County UFO Chase phenomenologically open
Newspaper archives (British Newspaper Archive; New Zealand's Papers Past), which preserve the reports and expose the press's role.

The Pre-WWI Phantom Airship Scares historically pivotal explained
The technological-capability record — the demonstrable absence of any airship capable of the reported endurance and night operations, decisive against a literal interpretation.

The Pre-WWI Phantom Airship Scares historically pivotal explained
The official police/air-police record and the precisely measured sleeper indentations and disturbed ballast — physical, contemporaneously documented evidence to weigh against railway-wear baselines.

The Quarouble / Marius Dewilde Case & the 1954 European Wave under corroborated
The movement's own abundant documents (the books, doctrine, embassy plans, organizational records), openly studied by Palmer.

The Raelian Movement historically pivotal explained
The original Project Blue Book file and the crew testimony (McDonald's six interviews are the richest record).

The RB-47 ELINT Incident under corroborated
The police assault-case file (and the disputed officer-quote attributions) as the best contemporaneous record.

The Robert Taylor / Dechmont Law Incident under corroborated
CIA / FBI operational records of any ACTUAL surveillance of civilian groups (APRO, NICAP, CSI) — Haines found no direct evidence the CIA itself monitored them; such records, if they exist, may sit with the FBI.

The Robertson Panel apparatus event
The full Chadwell / Office of Scientific Intelligence summer-1952 memos, to test the 'orchestration' thesis that the panel's conclusions were taken straight from pre-existing CIA concerns.

The Robertson Panel apparatus event
Records of any media-coordination substantiating implementation of the public-education recommendation (e.g., later television treatments).

The Robertson Panel apparatus event
Actual production of SUBSTANTIVE (not merely administrative) records into the NARA UAP Records Collection (Record Group 615).

The Schumer-Rounds UAP Disclosure Act apparatus event
Amazing Stories circulation records and issue contents (the documentary backbone of the priming mechanism).

The Shaver Mystery & Ray Palmer historically pivotal explained
Richard Toronto's archival history 'War Over Lemuria' (2013).

The Shaver Mystery & Ray Palmer historically pivotal explained
A direct methodological comparison with the Condon Report on the same kinds of evidence — the documented reversal of 'no further study.'

The Sturrock Panel apparatus event
Contemporaneous Malagasy/French colonial newspaper archives (August 1954) — the highest-value lever, to establish whether the dramatic features were reported at the time or accreted later.

The Tananarive Mass Sighting under corroborated
Meteor/bolide records for 16 August 1954 over the southern Indian Ocean, and power-utility records for any Tananarive outage that evening.

The Tananarive Mass Sighting under corroborated
Frère Coze's actual investigation report, if it exists in French military/colonial or Jesuit-observatory archives.

The Tananarive Mass Sighting under corroborated
Archived weather records for 19 January 1966 near Tully — a true willy-willy needs supporting conditions; the reported calm is the natural explanation's main weakness.

The Tully "Saucer Nest" / Horseshoe Lagoon under corroborated
The original CUFOS/Hendry case file and the primary Ford and Honeywell engineering reports (verbatim), to confirm the windshield/antenna findings and the experts' real names.

The Val Johnson Incident under corroborated
The original printout / archival Big Ear data (preserved) and the precise frequency offset above the hydrogen line as a discriminator.

The Wow! Signal phenomenologically open
Independent re-examination of all polygraph records (crew and Walton) under modern standards, with attention to the disputed McCarthy test conditions.

Travis Walton Incident (5–10 November 1975) under corroborated
Documentary reconstruction of the exact contract terms and penalty to quantify the financial motive the hoax theory depends on.

Travis Walton Incident (5–10 November 1975) under corroborated
The original hazard / safety reports filed by Carrier Air Wing One aircrew, which would establish the contemporaneous (pre-2017) documentary record.

USS Theodore Roosevelt encounters (2014–2015) phenomenologically open
Cross-correlation with FAA and range-control records for the W-72 / W-122 warning areas during the period.

USS Theodore Roosevelt encounters (2014–2015) phenomenologically open
Hospital admission/transfer records (Bom Pastor, Humanitas) for the dates in question, to confirm or refute the alleged creature transport.

Varginha 'ET' Incident (20 January 1996) under corroborated
An independent medical review of Cpl. Chereze's full records to assess whether the fatal infection had any unusual features.

Varginha 'ET' Incident (20 January 1996) under corroborated
The complete Project Blue Book case file for these dates (Record Group 341, NARA), including original witness statements from Barnes, Nugent, Pierman, and Patterson.

Washington National Flap disputed optical artifact
Department of Supply HIBAL flight and recovery records for early April 1966, to confirm or exclude a balloon match to the date, drift track, and recovery location.

Westall Incident (6 April 1966) under corroborated

Witness testimony · 75

First-hand accounts still obtainable from people — interviews, depositions, testimony.

Any overlooked adult (staff, passers-by) witness who saw the object independently of the children.

Ariel School, Zimbabwe (16 September 1994) under corroborated
Any independent corroboration of S-4 or the craft — of which there remains none.

Bob Lazar & the S-4 / Area 51 Claims under corroborated
The complete Bergstrom AFB interview recording, authenticated, with the interviewing personnel identified.

Cash-Landrum Incident under corroborated
A formal, recorded re-interview of Colby Landrum, the surviving witness, against the 1981 record.

Cash-Landrum Incident under corroborated
Systematic re-interview and cross-checking of surviving witnesses and officers, with attention to whether the 'deaths' claim has any contemporaneous basis or is a post-1990 accretion.

Colares / Operação Prato (1977–1978) under corroborated
Examination of the surviving (reportedly ruined) magnetic compass for evidence of an external magnetic event.

Coyne / Mansfield Army Helicopter Incident (18 October 1973) phenomenologically open
Re-interview/verification of the independent Mansfield ground-witness party against the aircrew timeline.

Coyne / Mansfield Army Helicopter Incident (18 October 1973) phenomenologically open
On-record, named testimony from any of the ~40 officials Grusch states he interviewed — the secondhand structure of his claim is its central evidentiary weakness.

David Grusch House Oversight testimony (26 July 2023) apparatus event
Original September 1952 Braxton Democrat pages and the unedited United Press dispatch, read directly, to separate first-night testimony from later folkloric accretion (the dog's alleged death, the '12-foot' growth, mechanical-vs-owl details).

Flatwoods Monster phenomenologically open
The affidavit witnesses and the alleged pre-recorded 'script' (per associate Jerrold Baker, via Moseley) — pointing to a staged event.

George Adamski & the Contactee Movement documented hoax
A clear, on-record account from Tommy Smith and any other participants, with the model's provenance settled by handwriting and paper analysis.

Gulf Breeze UFO Incident documented hoax
A re-examination of the ~900 'Night Siege' witness forms by an investigator not named Imbrogno, to separate the well-attested witness volume from the now-suspect editorializing.

Hudson Valley Wave phenomenologically open
On-record corroboration from the United Airlines and military aircraft that Anchorage queried during the event.

Japan Airlines Flight 1628 (17 November 1986) under corroborated
Independent ranging of the objects — every speed and size figure collapses without a known distance. Surveyed lines of sight from corroborating ground observers (e.g., the Diamond Gap fire-watch tower) could in principle triangulate range, but the surviving logs are too thin.

Kenneth Arnold Sighting under corroborated
Identification of further first-person accounts from the Bentwaters and Lakenheath crews beyond the single anchoring 1968 letter.

Lakenheath–Bentwaters Incident (13–14 August 1956) under corroborated
Independent (non-Maussan, non-advocacy) verification of the '17 videos / 17 locations / ~40,000 witnesses' provenance, which currently traces only to promotional sources.

Mexico City Eclipse UFO disputed optical artifact
On-record, named witness testimony with consistent size and altitude estimates.

O'Hare Airport UFO under corroborated
A rigorous reconciliation of the star-occlusion testimony (implying a solid body) with Mitch Stanley's telescopic observation (implying separate aircraft) — the single unresolved crux.

Phoenix Lights (13 March 1997) disputed optical artifact
The absence of any corroborating evidence over 30+ years.

Project Blue Beam documented hoax
A surviving copy of the Estimate of the Situation — Ruppelt claimed a few were kept as mementos, but none has ever surfaced, including in the 2024 AARO search.

Project Sign apparatus event
Independent on-record testimony from any named principal (Clingerman, McCoy, Cabell) — none of whom corroborated the Estimate during their lifetimes; after Ruppelt's book, senior Air Force officials denied it ever existed.

Project Sign apparatus event
Corroboration of the exact wording (whether it stated 'interplanetary' verbatim, vs Ruppelt's later paraphrase) — currently impossible because the text is lost.

Project Sign's "Estimate of the Situation" apparatus event
The uncorroborated secondhand claim (via Randle's anonymous colonel) that physical-evidence paragraphs were stripped before Vandenberg's rejection — flagged as a single-source allegation needing independent support.

Project Sign's "Estimate of the Situation" apparatus event
The complete set of January 1981 witness statements, including those of the on-duty flight chiefs, examined against the later published accounts.

Rendlesham Forest Incident disputed optical artifact
Taylor's full medical history (meningitis, any neurological work-up) to assess seizure plausibility — and any second witness or independent trace, none of which has emerged in 45+ years.

Robert Taylor / Livingston Incident under corroborated
Identification and testimony of the first F-4's pilot and the civilian airliner crew, to corroborate the independent, proximity-correlated nature of the interference.

Tehran F-4 Incident (19 September 1976) under corroborated
Corroborating named witnesses beyond Cincoski, or independent confirmation of the aerostat / MX-20 sourcing.

The "Jellyfish" UAP disputed optical artifact
Any contemporaneous corroboration of the radio failures (station logs) or a second witness — none has surfaced; the case is single-witness.

The Alan Godfrey / Todmorden Case under corroborated
Triangulating the multiple-witness bearings — convergence on a fixed point would support a real object; consistency along a sun-relative angle would support optics.

The Alderney / Channel Islands Sighting disputed optical artifact
Any physical or medical evidence of the claimed procedures, and independent non-hypnotic corroboration.

The Allagash Abduction under corroborated
The total absence of corroboration — the structural ceiling on the case.

The Antonio Villas Boas Case under corroborated
The total absence of physical evidence or any period military/government record corroborating a 1948 Aztec recovery.

The Aztec, New Mexico Crash Hoax documented hoax
Provenance scholarship (Wickiana cataloguing, surviving copies, Apiarius's output) to date and contextualize the sheet against the 1560s wonder-sign boom.

The Basel Celestial Phenomenon disputed optical artifact
The absence of physical evidence or independent corroboration of the abduction itself (only the mundane backdrop is corroborated).

The Betty Andreasson Abduction under corroborated
The recorded pilot and controller testimony and the 23 May 1986 press-conference record.

The Brazilian Official UFO Night phenomenologically open
The surviving original children's drawings and any contemporaneous teacher/headmaster notes, examined for genuine independence versus shared exposure before drawing.

The Broad Haven / Dyfed Incident under corroborated
Independent statements from other hunting-party members (beyond Alvarez's distant light) and a site reconstruction, to test for any corroboration of the entities the account otherwise lacks.

The Cisco Grove Incident under corroborated
Independent confirmation of the Cosmos 2238 re-entry track and time from space-tracking catalogs, tied precisely to witness timestamps.

The Cosford Incident disputed optical artifact
The consistency of the two child witnesses across separate questioning, plus the corroborating animal-distress detail.

The Cussac Encounter under corroborated
The recorded testimony and the witnesses' independently verifiable careers (e.g., Callahan's FAA role and the JAL 1628 case are corroborable).

The Disclosure Project under corroborated
The named associates' statements (Artur Gustafsson, Christian Johansen, Martha Christiansson) are the corroboration that closes the case — their accounts are the load-bearing evidence.

The Domsten Encounter documented hoax
The case is most useful going forward as a teaching example of why witness sincerity, lie-detector results, and psychological soundness do not establish that a reported event occurred.

The Domsten Encounter documented hoax
The Gaume & Puzrin slab model and its 2022 corroboration (and 2021 expeditions that filmed slab avalanches at the pass).

The Dyatlov Pass Incident historically pivotal explained
The July 1978 recorded interview and the consistency of Wolski's account over time.

The Emilcin Abduction under corroborated
The absence of physical evidence (site traces quickly disturbed) and of any second witness to the central event.

The Emilcin Abduction under corroborated
The cultural context — minimal UFO-media saturation in 1970s rural communist Poland — as a contamination check on the testimony.

The Emilcin Abduction under corroborated
The surviving signed witness statements and original interview transcripts (Hynek's and the Australian investigators') subjected to fresh scrutiny for consistency and independence.

The Father Gill / Boianai Sighting under corroborated
Independent accounts from any still-living secondary witnesses or their families, not shaped by Gill.

The Father Gill / Boianai Sighting under corroborated
A systematic blind comparison of Allied vs captured Axis aircrew reports, to test whether the descriptions truly match across both sides — the linchpin of the secret-weapon refutation.

The Foo Fighters phenomenologically open
A contemporaneous corroborating record for the major hoaxes — e.g., a second independent newspaper reporting the Aurora funeral (none did).

The Great Airship Wave of 1896-1897 historically pivotal explained
The surviving videos and photos (photometric/positional analysis — fade curves and drift consistent with parachute descent versus powered flight).

The Greifswald Lights historically pivotal explained
Carter's own written report and the (mostly null) recollections of the other Lions Club attendees.

The Jimmy Carter UFO Sighting historically pivotal explained
The dust/ash analyses (brake-lining + clay/salt vs anomalous) and the never-formally-corroborated roof dents.

The Knowles Family / Mundrabilla Incident under corroborated
Independent corroboration, which rests largely on Henley's light sighting (the near-collision station-wagon occupants never came forward).

The Knowles Family / Mundrabilla Incident under corroborated
The never-produced witnesses ('Richard' and 'Dan') and the unconfirmed VIP — any one authenticated would have been transformative; none was.

The Linda Napolitano / Brooklyn Bridge Abduction under corroborated
Genuinely anomalous composition of any surviving 'slag' under modern analysis — none has ever been demonstrated.

The Maury Island Incident documented hoax
The surviving IFSB / Space Review print run, to compare the actual October 1953 wording against later retellings.

The Men in Black Origin / Albert Bender historically pivotal explained
The total lack of independent corroboration for the encounter (coworkers attest only to a distant glow).

The Meng Zhaoguo Incident under corroborated
The pilots' True (October 1952) first-person article and Tulien's 2002 Nash oral history.

The Nash-Fortenberry Sighting phenomenologically open
Moore's 1989 MUFON confession (recorded; partial transcripts) and Doty's later admissions (requiring corroboration).

The Paul Bennewitz Affair & the AFOSI Disinformation Campaign apparatus event
The absence of any photographed/cast ground trace and any independent witness to the close encounter (the binding gaps).

The Rosa Lotti / Cennina Encounter under corroborated
Exactly what the panel asked for: cases with multiple independent witnesses AND multiple independent types of physical evidence, analyzed under normal peer review.

The Sturrock Panel apparatus event
Analysis of the recurring nest pattern (later nests with no craft) as evidence of a natural, site-specific vortex mechanism, against the single-witness craft account.

The Tully "Saucer Nest" / Horseshoe Lagoon under corroborated
The binding constraint that cannot be repaired: no identified witness and no chain of custody to any craft or explosion.

The Ubatuba Magnesium Fragments under corroborated
A second independent eyewitness (none firmly established) or contemporaneous physical photos of the marks.

The Valensole Incident under corroborated
Independent adult corroboration contemporaneous with 27 September — none has emerged in 35+ years.

The Voronezh UFO Incident under corroborated
On-record testimony from Adm. Wilson confirming or denying the meeting and its content under oath — the single most decisive step, currently a flat denial.

The Wilson-Davis Memo under corroborated
Any contemporaneous (2002) record independently corroborating the meeting (a calendar entry, travel record, or third party present).

The Wilson-Davis Memo under corroborated
Triangulated simultaneous bearings from precisely time-stamped, separated witnesses (Jasek attempted this; the times and positions are imprecise).

The Yukon UFO Sighting disputed optical artifact
Full publication and peer scrutiny of the orbital decay solutions against the witness timeline, and spectral/color data distinguishing re-entry plasma glow from structured lighting.

The Yukon UFO Sighting disputed optical artifact
Re-interview of the surviving crew witnesses with attention to consistency and to whether any account has shifted in 50 years.

Travis Walton Incident (5–10 November 1975) under corroborated
Photogrammetric reconstruction from the surviving prints to test scale, distance, and the plausibility of a small near-camera model versus a distant large object.

Trindade Island Photographs (16 January 1958) disputed optical artifact
Identification and on-record testimony from the unnamed weapons systems officers in Fravor's and Dietrich's aircraft.

USS Nimitz Tic-Tac Incident under corroborated
On-record, named testimony from the alleged military and hospital participants, rather than the secondhand chain the retrieval narrative currently rests on.

Varginha 'ET' Incident (20 January 1996) under corroborated
A consolidated, cross-checked witness map (who was where, what each saw) from Shane Ryan's canvass to characterize the object's reported track precisely.

Westall Incident (6 April 1966) under corroborated